Pennsylvania’s Natural Gas Production Continues to Rise

Pennsylvania’s marketed natural gas production averaged a record 15 Bcfd in 2017, 3% higher than the 2016 level, reports the Energy Information Administration (EIA). This production is largely from shale plays in the Appalachian Basin. Pennsylvania accounted for 19% of total U.S. marketed natural gas output in 2017 and produced more natural gas than any other state except Texas.

The Keystone State has experienced an increase in permitting and drilling activity with the expansion of regional pipeline capacity capable of moving natural gas to market centers outside production areas. According to the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, the state issued 1352 natural gas drilling permits in 2016 and another 2038 in 2017. The drilling rig count in the state has also risen, averaging 20 rigs in 2016 and 33 a year later, based on data from Baker Hughes.

Recent permitting and drilling activity is concentrated in opposite corners of the state. Washington and Greene counties in southwestern Pennsylvania and Susquehanna County in the northeast have the highest number of permits and rigs. Natural gas produced in Washington and Greene counties has a high natural gas plant liquid (NGPL) content, enhancing the value of gas extracted and helping drive production. NGPLs have tended to sell at a higher price than the natural gas. By comparison, natural gas production in Susquehanna County is relatively dry, meaning it has less NGPL content.

In Susquehanna County, the estimated ultimate recovery of wells—a measure of gas productivity—has increased over the past five years, spurring further drilling activity. In 2016 and 2017, Susquehanna, Washington, and Greene counties combined accounted for slightly more than half of the total permits and two-thirds of the active rigs in Pennsylvania.

In the past, natural gas production in Pennsylvania outpaced the ability of regional infrastructure to process and transport it out of the region. Several pipeline projects in recent years have alleviated these constraints.

The projects include the Rockies Express Zone 3 expansion, which entered into service in October 2016 and moves natural gas westward from southwest Pennsylvania, and the Algonquin Incremental Market pipeline, which entered into service in December 2016 and primarily moves natural gas from northeastern Pennsylvania into New England.

EIA forecasts natural gas production to continue to increase in the Appalachian Basin, which would indicate a need for additional pipeline capacity. Current pipeline projects include the 3.25-Bcfd Rover Pipeline project and the 1.5-Bcfd NEXUS Gas Transmission project, both scheduled to begin operations during the next few months.

(SOURCE: The Weekly Propane Newsletter, May 21, 2018)